The Game of Politics

As a student of political Sience, I view this conflict as a shift in the perception of power. At this stage, the question of who wins or loses the war is not the most important; what is clear is that a global power shift has already begun. Iran, once seen as weaker, has emerged stronger through this conflict and now holds meaningful leverage. The United States is no longer negotiating from a position of clear dominance, as Iran and its allies increasingly believe that Washington cannot achieve a decisive victory. This situation has placed the United States under pressure. The American president’s increasingly strong and threatening rhetoric also reflects growing frustration and a relative decline in influence. Therefore, the issue is not purely diplomatic. Although diplomatic efforts can temporarily pause a war, they cannot always bring it to a complete end. Diplomatic bargaining is important, but in the global order, there is no truly stable mechanism for lasting power-sharing. A dom...

The Strait of Hormuz normally carries around 80–130+ ships per day, including cargo vessels, LNG carriers, and oil tankers. Among these, approximately 20–30 are oil tankers, transporting nearly 20–21 million barrels of oil per day, which accounts for about 20% of global oil supply. During the pperiod of conflict, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is significantly disrupted. Amid the ongoing Middle East conflict, traffic has already declined. Even without a full closure,these disruptions are already affecting global oil and LNG flows, as well as international trade, driving inflation, and placing significant strain on global energy and supply chains. The United States is adopting a new strategy in the context of the ongoing conflict. According to US military statements, it is moving toward restricting maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports. Iran’s armed forces have strongly stated that any restrictions on the movement of vessels in international waters are il...

As a facilitator an d mediator, Pakistan maintains strict confidentiality in ongoing diplomatic consultations involving multiple stakeholders aimed at preventing escalation and preserving global peace. During wartime, diplomacy is extremely sensitive, and details of negotiations are not disclosed while discussions are still in progress. It is therefore important not to rely on rumors, as nothing is confirmed or released until the talks are formally concluded. #Diplomacy #PeaceTalks #Confidentiality #InternationalRelations #GlobalPeace #Pakistan #Negotiations #WarPrevention #ForeignPolicy #IslamabadTalks

U.S Iran Talks The United States and Iran are engaged in discussions hosted by Pakistan, with 15 points on the U.S. side and 10 on the Iranian side. The proceedings remain confidential, with only select points from each side made public. The United States emphasizes the importance of ensuring freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, while Iran calls for a ceasefire across the region, including Lebanon. The key questions remain: Will Iran compromise its sovereignty, and will the United States grant Iran leverage to become more powerful? ⸻ Pakistan’s Mediation Role Pakistan is playing a significant role in promoting peace in the Middle East. It is facilitating and, at a certain level, mediating between Iran and the United States, helping to bring both sides together at a highly sensitive stage that previously appeared nearly impossible. Despite the challenges, Pakistan has not lost hope, has not halted its diplomatic efforts, and continues to work toward a peaceful agre...

In the face of serious threats from the United States and Iran’s response, after a lot of efforts by Pakistan and other countries, a sudden change has led to a pause in the war. However,Pakistan and other facilitator countries can only provide a platform for peace talks. The United States should also understand this reality. As Iran is now already exerting geopolitical influence as an emerging fourth center of world power, and as a very close ally of China and Russia, Iran has now emerged as a power in the Middle East. Now, for these negotiations, progress could only be positive with Iran if there is a balance of interests; otherwise, no agreement can be reached for long-term peace in the region and the world. Can it guarantee permanent peace? I have written in my blog, “Global Powers in Play: How U.S. Supremacy Faces Its Biggest Challenge”, that this war could be paused but cannot be ended, as I have explained for different reasons. One reason is that, at this stage, if the wa...

After days and nights of effort, Islamabad is at the center of global attention. Pakistan is preparing to host US–Iran talks, playing an important role in facilitating dialogue between the two sides amid a fragile ceasefire. Special arrangements have been made in the city to manage the arrival and movement of foreign delegations. Security and logistics are being carefully coordinated to ensure the smooth conduct of the talks starting Friday. Pakistan’s role is helping bring both parties to the table, providing an opportunity to reduce tensions in the region. While the ceasefire is still fragile, these talks could be a step toward more stable relations. Observers around the world are watching closely, hopeful that these discussions contribute to peace and stability in the Middle East and beyond. #Pakistan #Islamabad #USIranTalks #Ceasefire #Peace #Diplomacy #MiddleEast #RegionalStability #GlobalPeace #PakistanRole

History shows something very clear: war by itself rarely destroys a civilization. Civilizations usually fall slowly, through a deadly mix of war, internal weakness, economic collapse, and natural disasters. Take Rome, for example—barbarian invasions didn’t destroy it alone; corruption and economic decay had already weakened it over time. The Maya fell not just because of wars between city-states, but also because of long-lasting droughts. The Indus Valley civilization collapsed slowly as rivers shifted and crops repeatedly failed. The Aztecs were defeated by Hernán Cortés, but disease and internal divisions had been weakening them for years. Even the mighty Byzantine Empire, after centuries of slow decline, finally fell when the Ottomans captured Constantinople. Looking at history, it’s clear that civilizations rarely end suddenly—destruction happens slowly, as many problems strike together over time. In reality, almost all collapses happened over years or decades. Only very rare eve...

To understand ongoing conflicts, we need to go into history. After World War II, the United States established its supremacy, particularly through the dominance of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. This position was strengthened when oil trade agreements in the Middle East were conducted in dollars, often referred to as the petrodollar system, and signed security agreements with Middle East countries. The establishment of its military bases in the Middle East allowed it to offer security guarantees, further expanding its control and influence in the region and gradually across parts of Asia. The United States demonstrated its military and intelligence capabilities in multiple conflicts. For example, during the Soviet-Afghan War, U.S. support played a key role in inflicting heavy losses on Soviet Union forces, contributing to long-term challenges for Russia. Meanwhile, China experienced rapid economic growth and emerged as a major power, including advancements in military t...

Americans and global stakeholders have the opportunity to influence their governments and institutions to take meaningful steps toward ending this war and promoting lasting peace. The American people can play a crucial role in influencing their government to end this war. History has shown that even a superpower can change course when the costs become too high. For example, during the Vietnam War, massive protests, media coverage, and growing public frustration forced the U.S. to withdraw, despite its dominant military power. Similar patterns can be seen in other conflicts, such as the Iraq War and the Korean War, where public pressure, economic constraints, and international opinion shaped the outcomes. These examples show that public pressure is extremely important—throughout history, people have consistently opposed wars, and in many cases, sustained public pressure has directly influenced government decisions. Today, this conflict is not only driving up inflation and weakening th...