To understand ongoing conflicts, we need to go into history. After World War II, the United States established its supremacy, particularly through the dominance of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. This position was strengthened when oil trade agreements in the Middle East were conducted in dollars, often referred to as the petrodollar system, and signed security agreements with Middle East countries. The establishment of its military bases in the Middle East allowed it to offer security guarantees, further expanding its control and influence in the region and gradually across parts of Asia.
The United States demonstrated its military and intelligence capabilities in multiple conflicts. For example, during the Soviet-Afghan War, U.S. support played a key role in inflicting heavy losses on Soviet Union forces, contributing to long-term challenges for Russia.
Meanwhile, China experienced rapid economic growth and emerged as a major power, including advancements in military technology. Some analysts said that the attack on Iran was designed to limit energy supplies to China, whose growing economy depends heavily on imported fuel, particularly from the Gulf region, to weaken China as it is on the path to becoming a superpower.
In past few years, new blocs of countries have formed agreements based on their own national interests—covering economic cooperation, war strategies, and regional influence—which initially resembled a Cold War. After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, this Cold War turned into an actual war, and previously invisible alliances have now become visible. This has intensified global tensions, contributing to inflation and a worldwide energy crisis. The war also reflects an indirect confrontation between the United States and Russia.
During the administration of Donald Trump, several diplomatic developments were openly reported in the media—something that traditionally goes against world diplomacy, where efforts usually happen behind closed doors. In my opinion, this approach was meant to demonstrate U.S. dominance and reinforce its global authority. However, the reality today is different: China and Russia have grown into significant global powers that cannot be ignored.
As discussed, U.S. supremacy was built partly on dollar-based oil trade and the backing of the American deep state, which is influenced by Israel lobbyists who operate on the principle of “might is right” to exert influence globally. After the attack on Iran, Iran strategically appears to be challenging this supremacy with alternatives—such as conducting oil trade in the Middle East region using other currencies like the yuan—and by attacking U.S. military bases in the Middle East, including locations in Qatar, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia, achieving its targets very meaningfully. It has now become very clear that the USA had no idea it would face such forceful aggression from Iran, and it is now very clear that Iran’s response ability is not entirely independent; it may involve strategic support from China and Russia, as their national interests are aligned. In reality, Iran succeeded as the USA military has been shifted from bases to hotels. As a result, the USA Chief of Army Staff was fired due to this failure.
Additionally, Iran’s strategic position near the Strait of Hormuz gives it leverage. Control or disruption of this route could significantly impact global oil supplies. If such control is maintained by Iran and its allies, it could signal a major shift in global power dynamics.
It is also argued that if U.S. influence weakens in the region, countries that relied on American security guarantees may face new challenges.
Every nation ultimately acts in its own national interest, and alliances are often based on shared benefits rather than loyalty.
The success of diplomacy relies on maintaining a balanced alignment of interests among the negotiating countries.
As Leaders of the United States, Russia, and China—including the already scheduled May 14–15 visit of Donald Trump to China and a separately announced upcoming meeting with the Russian president expected in mid-May —venue is not decided if this meeting will take place among powerful countries’ leaders. As I observed, China and Russia diplomacy is very sharp; they will never do talk on open media about diplomatic matters. They believe real diplomacy always happens inside the room to settle issues and conflicts, and both countries want to promote their businesses. China and Russia are actively building an independent influence in the international market. I suggest America now should understand ground reality and negotiate now with mutual respect and balanced interest base; then it could be a positive output.
But If global issues keep being handled publicly through media pressure instead of private negotiations, conflicts could get much worse. This might lead to long-lasting wars, economic instability, rising inflation that affects people everywhere, and in the worst case, could even trigger a nuclear world war.
#Geopolitics #InternationalRelations #GlobalPolitics #WorldNews #GlobalEconomy #EnergyMarkets #Diplomacy #CurrentAffairs #GlobalTrends #PoliticalAnalysis #War #Conflict #USA #China #Russia #Iran #MiddleEast #MiddleEastWar #MiddleEast #NuclearWar
Comments