Timing is very important, especially in politics, as seen in Trump’s visit to China. In my personal opinion, the timing of this visit was not good, as after the Iran war the USA has lost its position not only in the world but even in its own country, as inflation is rising. US politics has always been based on domination and power. Without gaining back this power, the China visit was useless and may even make the USA weaker. China has rapidly gained its position in the last one year in defence, as Pakistan won the war against India, which was a big surprising victory for the world and behind this we cannot ignore Chinese technology that was used by Pakistan. Secondly, as Iran fought the war and achieved many victories, nobody can ignore that Russia and Chinese technology also played a key role. In light of this, Trump’s visit timing was not good and it had no clear achievement. The visit was also confusing as to whether it was diplomatic or business, as he had cabinet members and mostly business industry chief executives with him. Whether it was for business deals or geopolitical deals, he was there to make a strategic relationship while ignoring Taiwan. Will he sell weapons to Taiwan and Boeing to China?
Trump said that China and the USA agreed to keep the Strait of Hormuz open and that Iran could not have nuclear power. He also said China will buy oil from the USA, which is very interesting, because Iran never blocked Chinese vessels. Once, the USA tried to block them but was not able to, so their main concern was China. Secondly, Iran has never stated that it wants nuclear weapons; it has always said its peaceful nuclear program, it is not for nuclear weapons. Thirdly, when China is already getting oil from Iran at good prices, why would it buy from the USA, especially when Iran is a strategic partner of China? More importantly, not a single statement came from China regarding all of this.
Trump tried to show that he is very close to President Xi Jinping, but does this relationship really matter between two powerful countries when their interests are not mutual?
As China knows about the weakened position of the USA, it has played a strong card regarding Taiwan. China has warned that Taiwan’s future is very important. US policy on Taiwan is also very important, as the Trump administration has a major weapons deal with Taiwan, which still has not been approved by USA which China strongly opposes because it believes Taiwan is part of its territory.
Half of the world’s cargo ships pass through the Taiwan Strait. Taiwan remains a highly sensitive and strategically important issue in the context of China’s rise. It is not only a territorial dispute between China and Taiwan but also a central point of tension in US–China relations. The island’s location makes it crucial for global trade routes and military strategy in the Indo-Pacific region. Any escalation around Taiwan has the potential to affect international supply chains, regional security, and the broader stability between major powers. If China controls Taiwan in the same way Iran could influence the Strait of Hormuz, it would become very significant. China has already told the USA that the Taiwan issue should be handled properly.
It is also very important to consider that even if Trump wants to end this deal, will the US “deep state” allow it? Trump alone cannot decide the entire future of China–US relations. And if the USA steps back from the Taiwan weapons deal, as it is already weakened in front of its allies, it could become even weaker and more isolated.
China said that a new vision for a constructive relationship and strategic stability is important. Analysts believe China will closely watch how America behaves on the Taiwan issue. Therefore, during this visit, the entire relationship revolved around Taiwan. China placed a major card on the table because it understands that the Trump administration is currently facing weakness, even domestically, as inflation continues to rise in the USA.
For the first time, China is openly engaging with the USA as an equal power, showing that it now sees itself as a global superpower. As the Chinese president said, “Let’s avoid a great power war,” reflecting that China is preparing for the possibility of a major global conflict.
China is rapidly expanding its military capabilities and strengthening its nuclear forces. At the same time, China understands that, as a rising global power, it may not be able to completely avoid confrontation in the future. The world is entering a phase where major powers are standing dangerously close to the brink of conflict.
As I wrote at the start of the war, with the example of World War II, once a war begins, it does not remain fully under control and cannot always end according to desire. The same seems to be happening now. One major reason is that great powers often become blinded by the illusion and momentum of power, and because of this, history has witnessed many devastating disasters.
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